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Fostiras vs Ellopiakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Fostiras Logo

Fostiras

1 - 1
FT
Ellopiakos Logo

Ellopiakos

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fostiras
20%
Draws
57%
Ellopiakos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ellopiakos lately — more wins on the board than Fostiras.
  • Win probability leans Fostiras's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fostiras Clean Sheet 16%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fostiras Ellopiakos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Fostiras vs Ellopiakos
1:1
Nov 19, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Fostiras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fostiras 41 / 100
Ellopiakos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fostiras Ellopiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fostiras found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Ellopiakos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fostiras has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fostiras VS Ellopiakos
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fostiras

(Home)
28 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
2 : 0
Fostiras
24 Apr
Fostiras
1 : 3
Peramaikos
20 Apr
Almyros Gaziou
1 : 0
Fostiras
14 Apr
Episkopi
2 : 2
Fostiras
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Ellopiakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)