Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fougeres vs Avranches

France France

Coupe de France 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Lemeray M.
89'
Gueguen O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Avranches advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fougeres
35%
Draws
65%
Avranches
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Avranches

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Avranches carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Avranches a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Avranches arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Avranches, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fougeres Clean Sheet 19%
Avranches Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fougeres Avranches
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.64 1.4
Goals Conceded 2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2022 Coupe de France
Fougeres vs Avranches
0:1
Jul 26, 2019 Club Friendly
Fougeres vs Avranches
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fougeres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Avranches Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemeray M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fougeres 10 / 100
Avranches 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fougeres Avranches

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avranches Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Avranches conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Fougeres scored in 43% of their last 14 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Avranches registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Avranches
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fougeres

(Home)
10 Aug
Saint Lo Manche
2 : 1
Fougeres
03 Aug
AF Virois
3 : 0
Fougeres
27 Jul
Vitre
2 : 0
Fougeres
20 Jul
Fougeres
0 : 7
Le Havre
18 Nov
Caennaise
2 : 1
Fougeres
Page 1 of 3

Avranches

(Away)
25 Jul
Quevilly
1 : 1
Avranches
22 Jul
Laval
2 : 1
Avranches
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Granville
1 : 1
Avranches
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Gandrange 0
Geispolsheim 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Sarre Union 0
Thaon 3
Hombourg-Haut 0
Sochaux 3
Chambly 1
Amiens SC 2
Golden Lion 1
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havre Caucriauville 0
AF Virois 4
Saint-Malo 2
Caen 3
Grand Santi 2
Le Geldar 1
Evreux 1
Grand Quevilly 0
Armentieres 0
Marnaval 2
Prix les Mezieres 0
Bastia 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orvault 2
Laval 1
Sene 0
Chataigneraie 3
Fougeres 3
Le Mans 2
Chartres-de-Bretagne 0
Avranches 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
Paris 15 1
Linas-Montlhery 2
Liancourt Clermont 0
Paris 13 Atletico 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Lescar 0
EBBE 2
Toulon 1
Aubagne FC 2
Chambery 2
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
Rumilly Vallieres 3
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raon L Etape 1
Metz 2
Heillecourt 0
Epinal 4
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Agde 2
Colomiers 3
Salinieres 0
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Andrezieux 0
Chatellerault 4
SA Merignac 2
Chauray 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 3
USLPV 2
Pont Sainte Maxence 0
Vierzon Foot 2
Vitre 0
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 1
Cholet 0
Plouvorn 1
Sable 0
Vannes 2
Concarneau 1
Illzach Modenheim 1
Grenoble 4
ES Tarentaise 0
Villefranche 5
Montauban 3
Ales 2
Nimes 3
Borgo 0
St Esteve Perpignan 3
Narbonne 1
Hyeres 3
Alberes Argeles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 1
Trelissac 2
Stade Bordelais 0
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Chaumontois 1
Lucciana 0
JA Drancy 1
Fleury-Merogis 1
Reims Ste Anne 2
FC Bondues 0
Wasquehal 2
Merpins 0
Lege Capferret 1
Stade Poitevin 0
Chateauroux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 2
Gueugnon 1
Velay 2
Macon 3
Bourges 18 1
St Apollinaire 0
Saint-Pryve 2
Dijon 1
Saint-Doulchard 1
Cosne US 3
Les Ulis 1
Paris FC 3
Feignies-Aulnoye 2
Escaudain 1
Valenciennes 2
Red Star 1
Haguenau 1
Jura Dolois 0
Venus 0
Belfort 3
Olympique Marcquois 3
Cambrai 1
St Quentin 2
Hienghene Sport 1
Villerupt Thil 3
FC de Villers les Nancy 1
Reipertswiller 3
Nancy 2
Saint Priest 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Annecy 8
Diables Noirs 1
Bellevue Nantes 2
Basse Goulaine 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Lannion FC 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Venissieux FC 0
Limonest 2
Jura Sud 3
Vaulx 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 4
Le Havre 3
St Gregoire 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Mareuil SC 1
Les Herbiers 6
Auray 0
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 2
Poissy 1
Teteghem 1
Loon Plage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
NDC Angers 2
Granville 4
L'Etoile 2
Baie Mahault 1
Biars-Bretenoux 1
Bergerac 2
Merignac 0
Niort 1
Eperlecques 0
Bethune 1
Beauvais 0
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 2
Feurs 1
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
RC Grasse 2
Aubervilliers 2
Quevilly 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 2
Savigneux Montbrison 1
St Etienne 0
Rodez 1
1/64-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
TBD -
Clermont -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Thaon 3
Sochaux 2
Amiens SC 10
Aiglon Lamentin 0
Nantes -
TBD -
AF Virois 3
Caen 0
Grand Santi 0
Evreux 3
Marnaval 0
Bastia 3
Lorient -
TBD -
Orvault 0
Chataigneraie 1
Fougeres 0
Avranches 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 2
Paris 13 Atletico 1
TBD -
Lens -
EBBE 1
Aubagne FC 4
Chambery 2
Rumilly Vallieres 1
Lyon -
TBD -
Metz 1
Epinal 0
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Colomiers 0
Pau 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nice -
TBD -
Thiers 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Chatellerault 0
Avoine 1
Marcoussis Nozay 0
Vierzon Foot 6
Ergue-Gaberic 1
Plabennec 2
Plouvorn 0
Vannes 1
Grenoble 2
Villefranche 0
Montauban 0
Nimes 4
St Esteve Perpignan 1
Hyeres 2
TBD -
Marseille -
Trelissac 2
Bordeaux 3
TBD -
Rennes -
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
JA Drancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Wasquehal 1
Lege Capferret 1
Chateauroux 4
TBD -
PSG -
Chamalieres 4
Macon 1
Bourges 18 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Cosne US 0
Paris FC 2
Feignies-Aulnoye 0
Valenciennes 3
Haguenau 1
Belfort 2
Olympique Marcquois 0
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 2
Reipertswiller 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Annecy 3
Bellevue Nantes 0
Lannion FC 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Limonest 1
Jura Sud 2
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Alencon 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 3
Guingamp 2
CMS Oissel 1
Loon Plage 2
TBD -
Reims -
Granville 6
L'Etoile 0
Bergerac 0
Niort 1
Bethune 0
Dunkerque 4
TBD -
Auxerre -
F.C. Onet Le Chateau 0
RC Grasse 1
Aubervilliers 0
Tamponnaise 1
Monaco -
TBD -
Roche Saint-Genest 0
Rodez 1
1/32-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 1
Clermont 0
Strasbourg 0
Angers 1
Thaon 1
Amiens SC 0
Nantes 2
AF Virois 0
Evreux 1
Bastia 2
Lorient 6
Chataigneraie 0
Avranches 0
Brest 2
Linas-Montlhery 0
Lens 2
Aubagne FC 1
Chambery 3
Lyon 2
Metz 1
Lille 2
Troyes 0
Pau 2
Montpellier 1
Nice 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Avoine 1
Vierzon Foot 2
Plabennec 2
Vannes 0
Grenoble 1
Nimes 0
Hyeres 0
Marseille 2
Bordeaux 1
Rennes 2
U.S. Pays de Cassel 2
Wasquehal 1
Chateauroux 1
PSG 3
Chamalieres 1
Bourges 18 0
Paris FC 3
Valenciennes 1
Belfort 3
St Quentin 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Annecy 6
Lannion FC 1
Toulouse 7
Jura Sud 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Stade Pontivyen 1
Les Herbiers 4
Loon Plage 0
Reims 7
Granville 0
Niort 3
Dunkerque 2
Auxerre 3
RC Grasse 1
Tamponnaise 0
Monaco 2
Rodez 3
1/16-finals
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen 0
Angers 1
Thaon 0
Nantes 1
Bastia 1
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Lens 3
Chambery 0
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Pau 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Vierzon Foot 1
Plabennec 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 1
Rennes 0
U.S. Pays de Cassel 0
PSG 7
Chamalieres 0
Paris FC 4
Belfort 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Les Herbiers 0
Reims 3
Niort 0
Auxerre 4
RC Grasse 0
Rodez 1
1/8-finals
Angers 1
Nantes 2
Lorient 1
Lens 2
Lyon 3
Lille 2
Vierzon Foot 0
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
PSG 1
Paris FC 1
Annecy 2
Toulouse 3
Reims 1
Auxerre 2
Rodez 3
Quarter-finals
Nantes 2
Lens 1
Lyon 2
Grenoble 1
Marseille 2
Annecy 3
Toulouse 6
Rodez 1
Semi-finals
Nantes 1
Lyon 0
Annecy 1
Toulouse 2
Final
Nantes 1
Toulouse 5