Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fougeres vs Carquefou

France France

Coupe de France 2014/2015
Fougeres Logo

Fougeres

Sun, Nov 16, 2014
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Carquefou Logo

Carquefou

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Fougeres advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fougeres
15%
Draws
85%
Carquefou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carquefou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Carquefou come out ahead of Fougeres on wins alone.
  • Model gives Carquefou a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Carquefou arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fougeres, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fougeres Clean Sheet 20%
Carquefou Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fougeres Carquefou
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 1 13
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.64 1.07
Goals Conceded 2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2014 Coupe de France
Fougeres vs Carquefou
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fougeres 10 / 100
Carquefou 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fougeres Carquefou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carquefou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carquefou has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Carquefou has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Fougeres scored in 43% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

Fougeres VS Carquefou
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fougeres

(Home)
10 Aug
Saint Lo Manche
2 : 1
Fougeres
03 Aug
AF Virois
3 : 0
Fougeres
27 Jul
Vitre
2 : 0
Fougeres
20 Jul
Fougeres
0 : 7
Le Havre
18 Nov
Caennaise
2 : 1
Fougeres
Page 1 of 3

Carquefou

(Away)
13 Nov
Carquefou
0 : 1
US Tregunc
16 Nov
Fougeres
2 : 1
Carquefou
23 May
GFC Ajaccio
4 : 1
Carquefou
16 May
Carquefou
1 : 2
Amiens SC
09 May
Luzenac
2 : 2
Carquefou
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Auxerre 3
Dinsheim 0
Le Moule 1
Sarreguemines 2
Sochaux 5
Limonest 2
St Etienne Seltz 0
Strasbourg 4
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Mulhouse 1
Colmar 0
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 4
Clemenceau 2
Vaulx 0
Jura Sud 2
Bressuire 2
Vertou 1
FC Petit-Bard Montpellier 0
Istres 1
Meaux 3
Marck 0
Bethune 1
Amiens SC 2
Plabennec 4
Ginglin Cesson 1
Bellevue Nantes 1
F.C. Guichen 2
Plouvorn 2
Bonchamp 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont 3
Albi-Marssac 0
Pontarlier 0
Epinal 1
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
US Matoury 2
CMS Oissel 1
Zouasia 1
Avranches 6
Cholet 2
Aiglon Lamentin 0
La Rochelle 2
Aurillac 4
Amiens AC 3
St Ouen 0
Dizier 1
Beauvais 2
Laval 7
Saint-Berthevin 0
Eglantine Vierzon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 2
Paris FC 1
Fontenay 0
Graces 0
Brest 5
Concarneau 2
Excelsior 0
AS Plobannalec Lesconil 1
Vitre 3
Genets 1
Balma 0
Chauvigny 1
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 2
Gravona 1
Vichy 0
Dijon 9
Andrezieux 1
CO Avallon 0
Agde 0
Avenir Lozere 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Bourgoin Jallieu 1
FC Chalon 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 3
Saint Lo Manche 1
Herouville 0
Loon Plage 2
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Lillebonne 2
Cambrai 1
IC Croix 3
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Chauray 2
Girancourt Dommartin 1
Illkirch 2
Sedan 3
Champigny FC 2
Morhange 0
A.S. Pagny 3
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille Sud 1
Aubervilliers 0
Maubeuge 1
Valenciennes 3
Chateauroux 6
Meymac 0
Semeac 0
Tarbes 1
Trelissac 3
Magenta 0
Brive 0
Lucon 5
Dinan 2
Saint-Malo 1
Argentre 0
Angers 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Libourne 1
Lormont 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arras 2
GFC Ajaccio 0
Clermontois 1
Dunkerque 6
St. Maur Lusitanos 4
Creteil 3
Vierzon Foot 1
Moulins 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 2
Tefana 1
Saint-Mihiel 0
FC Bobigny 93 4
Nimes 2
Auch 0
Echirolles FC 1
Marseille Endoume 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 4
Calais 1
Trouville Deauville 1
Le Havre 3
Fleury-Merogis 1
Riviere de Corps 0
Saverne 1
Sarre Union 4
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Rodeo 0
Saint-Marcellin 0
Grenoble 1
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 2
Gonfreville 1
Villerupt Thil 1
Laon US 4
Saint-Louisienne 3
Pontivy 2
Siroco les Abymes 0
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
US Noeux Les Mines 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Forbach 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Ain Sud Foot 3
Aix 0
Arles-Avignon 4
AC Ajaccio 1
Ales 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 3
Macouria 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 2
Saran 0
TBD -
Stade Bordelais -
Fougeres 2
Carquefou 1
Blois Foot 41 0
Le Mans 1
Nancy 3
Montceau 0
Chambly 1
Troyes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/64-finals
Auxerre 4
Sarreguemines 0
Sochaux 0
Strasbourg 1
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 1
GOAL FC 1
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Istres 1
Meaux 1
Amiens SC 3
Plabennec 1
F.C. Guichen 0
Plouvorn 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Metz -
TBD -
Clermont 1
Epinal 2
Lorient -
TBD -
US Matoury 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 3
Aurillac 0
Amiens AC 0
Beauvais 1
Laval 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Paris FC 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 3
Vitre 2
Genets 0
Niort 2
Caen -
TBD -
MOS/3 Rivieres 1
Dijon 6
Andrezieux 2
Avenir Lozere 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Saint Priest 1
Saint-Omer 1
Loon Plage 0
Ailly sur Somme FC 0
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 4
Illkirch 1
Sedan 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Nice -
TBD -
Lille Sud 0
Valenciennes 1
Chateauroux 1
Tarbes 0
Trelissac 0
Lucon 1
Dinan 2
Angers 1
TBD -
Guingamp -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Franciscain 2
Lormont 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Rennes -
TBD -
Arras 2
Dunkerque 4
St. Maur Lusitanos 3
Moulins 1
TBD -
Reims -
Thonon-Evian -
TBD -
Noisy Le Sec 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Nimes 2
Marseille Endoume 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Boulogne 2
Le Havre 0
Fleury-Merogis 0
Sarre Union 1
Marseille -
TBD -
Pezenas 1
Grenoble 2
Bastia -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Orleans 7
Laon US 0
Saint-Louisienne 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 3
Forbach 0
Lyon - La Duchere 1
Arles-Avignon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Martigues 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Tours 3
Stade Bordelais 2
Fougeres 1
Le Mans 2
Nancy 3
Troyes 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Strasbourg 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Jura Sud 3
Bressuire 2
Amiens SC 1
Plabennec 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Metz 2
Epinal 1
Lorient 0
Avranches 1
Cholet 1
Beauvais 0
Laval 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
Niort 0
Caen 2
Dijon 3
Andrezieux 2
Saint Priest 0
Saint-Omer 0
IC Croix 5
Moulins-Yzeure 3
A.S. Pagny 1
Nice 0
Valenciennes 2
Chateauroux 1
Lucon 0
Dinan 0
Guingamp 3
PSG 3
Montpellier 0
Toulouse 1
Bordeaux 2
Lyon 3
Lens 2
Franciscain 0
Nantes 4
Rennes 2
Dunkerque 1
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
Reims 3
Thonon-Evian 3
FC Bobigny 93 0
Nimes 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 5
Sarre Union 4
Marseille 3
Grenoble 4
Bastia 2
Lille 0
Orleans 3
Quevilly 4
Red Star 2
Arles-Avignon 1
AC Ajaccio 0
Athletico Marseille 3
Tours 3
Le Mans 1
Nancy 0
St Etienne 1
1/16-finals
Auxerre 1
Jura Sud 0
Bressuire 0
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 3
Avranches 0
Cholet 1
Brest 3
Concarneau 1
Dijon 0
Andrezieux 1
IC Croix 2
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Valenciennes 0
Chateauroux 0
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Bordeaux 1
Lyon 2
Nantes 3
Rennes 2
Reims 1
Thonon-Evian 0
Monaco 2
Boulogne 1
Grenoble 0
Bastia 1
Quevilly 2
Red Star 2
Athletico Marseille 0
Tours 3
St Etienne 5
1/8-finals
Auxerre 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Metz 0
Brest 1
Concarneau 1
IC Croix 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Guingamp 3
PSG 2
Nantes 0
Rennes 1
Monaco 3
Boulogne 2
Quevilly 0
Red Star 1
St Etienne 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 1
Brest 0
Concarneau 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 2
Monaco 0
Boulogne 1
St Etienne 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 1
Guingamp 0
PSG 4
St Etienne 1
Final
Auxerre 0
PSG 1