Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
Match Events
3'
3'
Kichuya S.
15'
15'
Obasi C.
Assist: Said S.
34'
34'
David H.
Assist: Athuman A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Fountain Gate and Coastal Union finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fountain Gate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coastal Union
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fountain Gate haven't matched Coastal Union's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 22%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union
3:2
Oct 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate
1:1
Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Coastal Union
3:2
May 10, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Fountain Gate
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fountain Gate Compare
Top Goalscorer Obasi C.
1 Goals Assists Leader David H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Kichuya S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mwamita M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fountain Gate 32 / 100
Coastal Union 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fountain Gate Coastal Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coastal Union let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Fountain Gate found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Recent resilience: Fountain Gate stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fountain Gate VS Coastal Union
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
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Coastal Union
(Away) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
