Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
Match Events
9'
9'
Haruna K.
Assist: Hashim O.
72'
72'
Sub
Mukombozi D. In: Mtambi A.
Out: Mukombozi D.
86'
86'
Sub
Lidah H. In: Mgandila S.
Out: Lidah H.
AI Match Summary
Fountain Gate in this Ligi Kuu Bara matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fountain Gate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mashujaa have won more games recently than Fountain Gate.
- Model gives Mashujaa a 76% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 20%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
1:0
Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
0:1
Mar 13, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate
3:0
Oct 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fountain Gate Compare
Top Goalscorer Haruna K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Mashujaa Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fountain Gate 20 / 100
Mashujaa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fountain Gate Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashujaa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Fountain Gate's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Fountain Gate stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fountain Gate VS Mashujaa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home) 09 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 2 JKT Tanzania
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 2 JKT Tanzania
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 3
Mashujaa
(Away) 08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)
