Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
Match Events
87'
87'
Juma H.
AI Match Summary
Mashujaa in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mashujaa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mashujaa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fountain Gate average 0.8 goals a game right now, well clear of Mashujaa's 0.57.
- Win probability leans Mashujaa's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 22%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
1:0
Jun 24, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
0:1
Mar 13, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate
1:1
Apr 5, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Fountain Gate
3:0
Oct 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Mashujaa
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fountain Gate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Mashujaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Juma H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fountain Gate 21 / 100
Mashujaa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fountain Gate Mashujaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mashujaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mashujaa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Mashujaa lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Fountain Gate found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Fountain Gate VS Mashujaa
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 3
Mashujaa
(Away) 09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1 Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0 Mashujaa
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
15 Aug
Coastal Union
0 : 1 Mashujaa
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
