Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Simba
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sub
Mokono E. In: Haruna K.
Out: Mokono E.
45'
45'
Chama C.
46'
46'
Sub
Haruna K. In: David H.
Out: Haruna K.
AI Match Summary
Simba in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Simba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Simba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Simba have won more games recently than Fountain Gate.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 68%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Simba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 0.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.35 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Simba
0:3
Sep 25, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Fountain Gate
3:0
Feb 6, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Simba
1:1
Aug 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Fountain Gate
4:0
Mar 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Fountain Gate
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fountain Gate Compare
Avg xG / game 0.27
Avg xA / game 0.17
Simba Compare
Top Goalscorer Chama C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gueye L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fountain Gate 42 / 100
Simba 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fountain Gate Simba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Fountain Gate's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Simba let in goals in 32% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Fountain Gate stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fountain Gate VS Simba
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.13
43% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home) 30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Fountain Gate
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
12 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Azam
Page 1 of 6
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
18 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
12 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Azam
05 May
Fountain Gate
3 : 2 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
Simba
(Away) 12 Aug
Simba
0 : 1 Young Africans
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0 Simba
25 Jul
Simba
0 : 0 Mogadishu City
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0 Azam
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2 Simba
28 Jul
Jamus
0 : 0 Simba
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Simba
17 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Simba
21 May
Coastal Union
1 : 2 Simba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
