Sport Picks

Iceland

Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fram host Thor Akureyri in the Besta deild karla. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Fram at 2.5 goals for, 2.25 against; Thor Akureyri at 0.5 for, 2.75 against. Head-to-head, Fram have won 4 to Thor Akureyri's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Fram. Fram in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Fram

11%

Draws

Thor Akureyri

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Thor Akureyri has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fram.
Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Fram.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Besta deild karla provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Fram Clean Sheet 17%

Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fram	Thor Akureyri
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	13	16
Draws	6	3
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	2.5	0.5
Goals Conceded	2.25	2.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla

Thor Akureyri vs Fram

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Jul 27, 2021 Division 1

Thor Akureyri vs Fram

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

May 21, 2021 Division 1

Fram vs Thor Akureyri

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Feb 13, 2021 League Cup

Fram vs Thor Akureyri

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Sep 26, 2020 Division 1

Thor Akureyri vs Fram

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 75 / 100

Thor Akureyri 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fram Thor Akureyri

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Thor Akureyri let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fram went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Thor Akureyri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Thor Akureyri

2.5 Goals Scored 0.5

2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vikingur Reykjavik	14	13	1	0	48:9	40
2	KR Reykjavik	14	9	2	3	48:34	29
3	Fram	12	8	2	2	31:24	26
4	Breidablik	12	5	4	3	30:24	19
5	Valur	13	6	1	6	24:26	19
6	Stjarnan	14	4	3	7	28:31	15
7	Keflavik	12	4	3	5	17:23	15
8	Akranes	12	4	3	5	16:23	15
9	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	12	3	3	6	21:26	12
10	KA Akureyri	13	3	1	9	19:28	10
11	Hafnarfjordur	13	1	5	7	18:31	8
12	Thor Akureyri	13	2	2	9	14:35	8