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Fram vs Thor Akureyri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sigurdsson F.
35'
Brynjolfsson B.
37' Event
Jonasson A.
Assist: Konradsson K.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Fram and Thor Akureyri finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fram
30%
Draws
35%
Thor Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fram come out ahead of Thor Akureyri on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Fram taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fram have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Fram Clean Sheet 16%
Thor Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Thor Akureyri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 2.48 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Thor Akureyri
6:1
Apr 23, 2026 Besta deild karla
Thor Akureyri vs Fram
1:0
Jul 27, 2021 Division 1
Thor Akureyri vs Fram
0:2
May 21, 2021 Division 1
Fram vs Thor Akureyri
4:1
Feb 13, 2021 League Cup
Fram vs Thor Akureyri
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Asgrimsson H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Thor Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hlynsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 66 / 100
Thor Akureyri 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Thor Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fram Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fram scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Thor Akureyri let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Fram went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Thor Akureyri
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fram

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
Page 1 of 6

Thor Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Valur
4 : 1
Thor Akureyri
06 Sept
Thor Akureyri
1 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
29 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0 : 1
Thor Akureyri
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)