Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francana vs Desportivo

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Francana play Desportivo in the Paulista A3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Francana averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Desportivo averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Francana won 1, Desportivo won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Francana and 1.19 for Desportivo. This points to a Francana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Francana
31%
Draws
33%
Desportivo
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Francana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Francana picked up more points recently compared to Desportivo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Francana Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana Desportivo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Francana vs Desportivo
1:0
Mar 5, 2025 Paulista A3
Desportivo vs Francana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francana Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonata
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Desportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana 36 / 100
Desportivo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana Desportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Francana or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Francana attacking → ← attacking Desportivo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francana scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Desportivo let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Francana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 33
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285