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Francana vs Rio Preto EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Renato
Own Goal
58' Event
Dudu Pedrotti
64' Event
Leite A.

AI Match Summary

Rio Preto EC in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rio Preto EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Francana
6%
Draws
90%
Rio Preto EC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Rio Preto EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rio Preto EC lately — more wins on the board than Francana.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Rio Preto EC taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Francana Clean Sheet 13%
Rio Preto EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana Rio Preto EC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A3
Francana vs Rio Preto EC
1:3
Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Francana
0:1
Mar 8, 2015 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Francana
3:2
Feb 5, 2014 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Francana
4:2
Apr 3, 2013 Paulista A3
Rio Preto EC vs Francana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francana Compare

Top Goalscorer Dudu Pedrotti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rio Preto EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Leite A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Sousa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana 10 / 100
Rio Preto EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana Rio Preto EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Francana scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Rio Preto EC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Francana stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francana VS Rio Preto EC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa Santista15120326:936
2Marilia1595123:632
3Rio Preto EC1585224:1329
4XV de Jau1583416:1127
5Rio Claro1574419:1625
6Uniao Barbarense1566316:1424
7EC Sao Bernardo1565422:1523
8Paulista1565420:1323
9Uniao Sao Joao1564516:1522
10Catanduva FC1556416:1521
11Bandeirante1546515:1918
12Rio Branco SP1544713:2416
13Francana15311113:2210
14Itapirense15231014:269
15Desportivo151598:258
16Uniao Suzano15121210:285