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Francavilla vs Costa Amalfi Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Gaye O.
55' Event
Esposito R.
90' Event
Pellegrini N.

AI Match Summary

Francavilla in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Francavilla
15%
Draws
85%
Costa Amalfi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Costa Amalfi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Costa Amalfi haven't matched Francavilla's recent run of results.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Francavilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 18%
Costa Amalfi Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Costa Amalfi
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Costa Amalfi
3:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Costa Amalfi vs Francavilla
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaye O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esposito R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Costa Amalfi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 40 / 100
Costa Amalfi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Costa Amalfi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Costa Amalfi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Francavilla found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Costa Amalfi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
Page 1 of 7

Costa Amalfi

(Away)
04 May
Angri
3 : 1
Costa Amalfi
27 Apr
Costa Amalfi
1 : 4
Acerrana
17 Apr
Costa Amalfi
0 : 2
Gravina
12 Apr
Ischia
1 : 1
Costa Amalfi
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)