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Francavilla vs Ischia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Da Silva J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Francavilla and Ischia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Francavilla
20%
Draws
80%
Ischia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ischia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Francavilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ischia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 20%
Ischia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Ischia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Ischia
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Ischia vs Francavilla
1:0
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Ischia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Silva J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ischia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 36 / 100
Ischia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Ischia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ischia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Francavilla found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Ischia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Ischia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

Ischia

(Away)
04 Oct
Ischia
1 : 1
Ebolitana
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Ischia
1 : 2
A.C.D. Nardo
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
12 Sept
Ischia
2 : 2
Real Normanna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)