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Francavilla vs Martina Calcio

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 22, 2025
2 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
D'Arcangelo F.
28' Event
Gentile C.
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Francavilla host Martina Calcio in the Coppa Italia Serie D. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Francavilla have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Martina Calcio's 1.5 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, Francavilla have won 1 to Martina Calcio's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Martina Calcio. Martina Calcio in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Francavilla
6%
Draws
4%
Martina Calcio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Martina Calcio has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Francavilla.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Francavilla.
  • Cup tournament structure in Coppa Italia Serie D increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Martina Calcio
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Martina Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 95 / 100
Martina Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Martina Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francavilla scored in 68% of their last 34 games.

Martina Calcio let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Francavilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Martina Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Martina Calcio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0