Sport Picks
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 
Match Events
24'
24'
D'Arcangelo F.
28'
28'
Gentile C.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Francavilla advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martina Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Martina Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Martina Calcio a 64% chance of winning this.
- Martina Calcio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Martina Calcio, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Martina Calcio have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 19%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Martina Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
4:0
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Martina Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 20 / 100
Martina Calcio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Martina Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Francavilla scored in 70% of their last 33 games.
Martina Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Francavilla has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Martina Calcio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1 Francavilla
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
Page 1 of 4
Martina Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1 Martina Calcio
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0 Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
