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Francavilla vs Real Normanna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Francavilla Logo

Francavilla

1 - 1
FT
Real Normanna Logo

Real Normanna

Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Maiorano F.
83' Event
Barone V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Francavilla
15%
Draws
85%
Real Normanna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Normanna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Normanna have won more games recently than Francavilla.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 16%
Real Normanna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Real Normanna
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.16 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.16 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Real Normanna
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Francavilla
0:0
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Real Normanna vs Francavilla
2:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Real Normanna
3:0
Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Real Normanna
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Barone V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Real Normanna Compare

Top Goalscorer Maiorano F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 31 / 100
Real Normanna 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Real Normanna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Normanna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francavilla scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Real Normanna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Real Normanna's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Real Normanna
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
Page 1 of 7

Real Normanna

(Away)
07 Oct
Paganese
1 : 2
Real Normanna
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)