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France U17 W vs Samoa U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 1), Salé

France U17 W

4 - 2

Samoa U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

Marmillot C.

Assist: Bardet L.

19'

Gallais T.

Assist: Bardet L.

33'

Gallais T.

Assist: Marmillot C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with France U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

France U17 W

15%

Draws

Samoa U17 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

France U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans France U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
France U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor France U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

France U17 W Clean Sheet 20%

Samoa U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	France U17 W	Samoa U17 W
Matches Played	31	6
Wins	19	0
Draws	5	0
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.77	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.9	5.67
Expected Goals (xG)	3.21	0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 World Cup Women U17

France U17 W vs Samoa U17 W

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallais T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Marmillot C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.47

Avg xA / game 1.6

Samoa U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eldredge J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Leonard M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.71

Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U17 W 85 / 100

Samoa U17 W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

France U17 W Samoa U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U17 W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U17 W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Samoa U17 W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Samoa U17 W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

France U17 W VS Samoa U17 W

1.75 Goals Scored 0.67

0.88 Goals Conceded 4.67

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

France U17 W

(Home)

17 May

Germany U17 W

1 : 0

France U17 W

14 May

France U17 W

2 : 1

Norway U17 W

11 May

Finland U17 W

1 : 4

France U17 W

08 May

France U17 W

1 : 0

Spain U17 W

05 May

France U17 W

5 : 0

Poland U17 W

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Samoa U17 W

(Away)

25 Oct

Samoa U17 W

0 : 4

Nigeria U17 W

22 Oct

Samoa U17 W

0 : 6

Canada U17 W

19 Oct

France U17 W

4 : 2

Samoa U17 W

19 Jan

Samoa U17 W

0 : 5

New Caledonia U17 W

16 Jan

Samoa U17 W

1 : 4

Tonga U17 W

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