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France U18 vs USA U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Colovray Sports Centre, Nyon
Sun, Jun 1, 2025
2 - 3
09:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Swan C.
39' Event
Morales S.
90' Event
Messi R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

USA U18 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
France U18
20%
Draws
40%
USA U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • USA U18 have won more games recently than France U18.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on France U18 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
France U18 Clean Sheet 10%
USA U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U18 USA U18
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Friendly International
France U18 vs USA U18
2:3
Oct 9, 2013 Friendly International
France U18 vs USA U18
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Messi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

USA U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Swan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U18 83 / 100
USA U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U18 USA U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U18 let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

France U18 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: France U18 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France U18 VS USA U18
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France U18

(Home)
12 Oct
England U18
2 : 3
France U18
09 Oct
England U18
1 : 0
France U18
07 Sept
France U18
1 : 1
Japan U18
05 Sept
France U18
0 : 2
Portugal U18
03 Sept
France U18
5 : 2
Saudi Arabia U18
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USA U18

(Away)
08 Jun
USA U18
2 : 0
Qatar U20
05 Jun
USA U18
0 : 2
Sweden U18
31 Mar
Portugal U18
1 : 1
USA U18
28 Mar
USA U18
1 : 2
Morocco U18
26 Mar
Iceland U19
1 : 2
USA U18
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