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France U19 W vs Mexico U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

France U19 W play Mexico U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, France U19 W averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. Mexico U19 W averaged 2.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, France U19 W won 1, Mexico U19 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 1, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for France U19 W and 1.13 for Mexico U19 W. This points to a France U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
France U19 W
15%
Draws
32%
Mexico U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: France U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • France U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Mexico U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
France U19 W Clean Sheet 21%
Mexico U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U19 W Mexico U19 W
Matches Played 32 7
Wins 21 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2.31 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U19 W vs Mexico U19 W
0:1
May 15, 2019 Friendly International Women
France U19 W vs Mexico U19 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Mexico U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomeli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U19 W 52 / 100
Mexico U19 W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U19 W Mexico U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick France U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

France U19 W attacking → ← attacking Mexico U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U19 W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Mexico U19 W let in goals in 57% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

France U19 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U19 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 9
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00