Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France U21 vs Georgia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Stadion pod Dubnom (MSK Zilina), Žilina
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Lepenant J.
34'
Sazonov S.
35' Event
Tel M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

France U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored France U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
France U21
20%
Draws
19%
Georgia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: France U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • France U21 have won more games recently than Georgia U21.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on France U21 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • France U21 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
France U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U21 Georgia U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.76 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Euro U21
France U21 vs Georgia U21
3:2
Sep 4, 2020 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs France U21
0:2
Nov 15, 2019 Euro U21
France U21 vs Georgia U21
3:2
Oct 6, 2016 Friendly International
France U21 vs Georgia U21
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepenant J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barry T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Georgia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abuashvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sazonov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U21 85 / 100
Georgia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U21 Georgia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick France U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: France U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Georgia U21 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

France U21 VS Georgia U21
3 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

France U21

(Home)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5
France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Nov
Switzerland U21
1 : 1
France U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Georgia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)