Sport Picks
France U21 vs Poland U21
Europe
Euro U21 2025 Stadion pod Dubnom (MSK Zilina), Žilina 
Match Events
18'
18'
Zeze N.
Assist: Cisse D.
19'
19'
Cisse D.
19'
19'
Fornalczyk M.
AI Match Summary
France U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored France U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- France U21 have won more games recently than Poland U21.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
France U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | France U21 | Poland U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.56 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2025 Euro U21
France U21 vs Poland U21
4:1
Aug 12, 2009 Friendly International
France U21 vs Poland U21
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
France U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Cisse D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Zeze N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Poland U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Mosor A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
France U21 35 / 100
Poland U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
France U21 Poland U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: France U21 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
France U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Poland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
France U21 VS Poland U21
3 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
France U21
(Home) 30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1 Iceland U21
26 Mar
Luxembourg U21
1 : 5 France U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0 Faroe Islands U21
14 Nov
Switzerland U21
1 : 1 France U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1 Estonia U21
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30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1 Iceland U21
17 Nov
France U21
1 : 0 Faroe Islands U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1 Estonia U21
08 Sept
France U21
3 : 0 Serbia U21
17 Jun
France U21
4 : 1 Poland U21
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Poland U21
(Away) 31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1 Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1 Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6 Poland U21
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31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1 Poland U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6 Poland U21
09 Sept
Armenia U21
0 : 4 Poland U21
17 Jun
France U21
4 : 1 Poland U21
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Slovakia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Romania U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | England U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Czech Republic U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Slovenia U21 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | 1 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 7 |
| 2 | France U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Georgia U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Poland U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denmark U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Ukraine U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Finland U21 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)
