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France U23 W vs USA U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Thompson A.
83' Event
Roth M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2023 game between France U23 W and USA U23 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
France U23 W
6%
Draws
90%
USA U23 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USA U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and France U23 W come out ahead of USA U23 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans USA U23 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
France U23 W Clean Sheet 15%
USA U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France U23 W USA U23 W
Matches Played 32 21
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 2.5 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs USA U23 W
3:4
Feb 20, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs USA U23 W
1:1
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
France U23 W vs USA U23 W
0:2
Apr 7, 2019 Friendly International Women
USA U23 W vs France U23 W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roth M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

USA U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thompson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France U23 W 10 / 100
USA U23 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France U23 W USA U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: France U23 W scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: USA U23 W conceded in 62% of 21 recent games.

Solid form: France U23 W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

France U23 W VS USA U23 W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 29%