Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Rice D.
18'
18'
Konsa E.
Assist: Rice D.
37'
37'
Saka B.
Assist: Rashford M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-6, with England advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- England carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- England arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor England, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
France Clean Sheet 17%
England Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | France | England |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 23 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 World Championship
France vs England
4:6
Dec 10, 2022 World Championship
England vs France
1:2
Jun 13, 2017 Friendly International
France vs England
3:2
Nov 17, 2015 Friendly International
England vs France
2:0
Jun 11, 2012 Euro
France vs England
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
France Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbappe K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Barcola B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
England Compare
Top Goalscorer Saka B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rice D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
France 31 / 100
England 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
France England
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick England Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
France's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: France stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
England has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
France VS England
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
France
(Home) 18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
04 Jul
Paraguay
0 : 1 France
30 Jun
France
3 : 0 Sweden
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
14 Jul
France
0 : 2 Spain
09 Jul
France
2 : 0 Morocco
30 Jun
France
3 : 0 Sweden
22 Jun
France
3 : 0 Iraq
Page 1 of 3
England
(Away) 18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
15 Jul
England
1 : 2 Argentina
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2 England
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3 England
01 Jul
England
2 : 1 D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
France
4 : 6 England
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2 England
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3 England
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2 England
16 Nov
Albania
0 : 2 England
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6
