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France vs Luxembourg

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade Saint-Symphorien
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Carlson D.
43' Event
Kolo Muani R.
Assist: Mbappe K.
44'
Sub
Thill S. In: Mustafic M.
Out: Thill S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between France and Luxembourg finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
France
6%
Draws
4%
Luxembourg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • France has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Luxembourg.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for France.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
France Clean Sheet 68%
Luxembourg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France Luxembourg
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 8
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2024 Friendly International
France vs Luxembourg
3:0
Sep 3, 2017 World Championship
France vs Luxembourg
0:0
Mar 25, 2017 World Championship
Luxembourg vs France
1:3
Mar 25, 2011 Euro
Luxembourg vs France
0:2
Oct 12, 2010 Euro
France vs Luxembourg
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolo Muani R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clauss J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Luxembourg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France 95 / 100
Luxembourg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France Luxembourg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Luxembourg let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

France went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Luxembourg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

France VS Luxembourg
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 17%
75% Over 3.5 0%