Sport Picks

Stadium Background

France W vs Germany W

Europe Europe

Euro Women St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Sat, Jul 19, 2025
1 - 2
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Hendrich K.
15' Event
Geyoro G.
(Penalty)
16'
Wuck C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
France W
20%
Draws
45%
Germany W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Germany W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Germany W at 2.48 per game, France W at 2.14.
  • Germany W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Germany W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
France W Clean Sheet 12%
Germany W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric France W Germany W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.14 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
France W vs Germany W
2:2
Oct 24, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Germany W vs France W
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 Euro Women
France W vs Germany W
1:2
Feb 23, 2024 UEFA Nations League Women
France W vs Germany W
2:1
Oct 7, 2022 Friendly International Women
Germany W vs France W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

France W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Germany W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nusken S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

France W 19 / 100
Germany W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
France W Germany W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Germany W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

France W scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: France W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Germany W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

France W VS Germany W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

France W

(Home)
09 Jun
France W
1 : 0
Ireland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
France W
1 : 1
Netherlands W
14 Apr
Netherlands W
2 : 1
France W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

Germany W

(Away)
09 Jun
Slovenia W
0 : 2
Germany W
05 Jun
Germany W
2 : 0
Norway W
18 Apr
Austria W
0 : 0
Germany W
14 Apr
Germany W
5 : 1
Austria W
07 Mar
Norway W
0 : 4
Germany W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sweden W 2
England W 3
Norway W 1
Italy W 2
France W 1
Germany W 2
Spain W 2
Switzerland W 0
Semi-finals
England W 2
Italy W 1
Germany W 0
Spain W 1
Final
England W 2
Spain W 1