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Franciacorta vs Alcione Milano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Bagatti N.
54' Event
Bini F.
61' Event
Piccinocchi M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Franciacorta
35%
Draws
30%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Franciacorta have won more games recently than Alcione Milano.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 68%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciacorta Alcione Milano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Alcione Milano
2:2
Oct 23, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Alcione Milano vs Franciacorta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Bini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ravasi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagatti N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piccinocchi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciacorta 41 / 100
Alcione Milano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciacorta Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciacorta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Franciacorta scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Alcione Milano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Franciacorta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alcione Milano
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciacorta

(Home)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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Alcione Milano

(Away)
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1
Treviso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)