Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Tomaselli F.
(Penalty)
50'
50'
Bertazzoli A.
(Penalty)
52'
52'
Scarsi F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Franciacorta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Franciacorta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Breno haven't matched Franciacorta's recent run of results.
- Franciacorta are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Franciacorta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Franciacorta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 20%
Breno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Franciacorta | Breno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Breno
2:0
Dec 3, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Franciacorta
0:2
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Franciacorta vs Breno
3:1
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Breno
0:1
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Breno vs Franciacorta
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Franciacorta Compare
Top Goalscorer Scarsi F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bertazzoli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Breno Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Franciacorta 36 / 100
Breno 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Franciacorta Breno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Breno has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.
Franciacorta scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Franciacorta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Breno
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Franciacorta
(Home) 07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0 Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1 Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0 Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1 Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0 Varese FC
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0 Breno
01 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 3 Real Calepina
12 Mar
Franciacorta
0 : 0 Seregno Calcio
26 Feb
Franciacorta
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 3
Breno
(Away) 10 May
Breno
0 : 1 Pavia
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2 Breno
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2 Brusaporto
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
Page 1 of 7
26 Apr
Varesina
2 : 2 Breno
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
29 Mar
Oltrepo
2 : 0 Breno
01 Mar
Scanzorosciate
3 : 0 Breno
14 Feb
AC Milan U23
1 : 0 Breno
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
