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Franciacorta vs Lumezzane

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Cali M.
69' Event
Ravasi R.
90'
Scaglia L. A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Franciacorta and Lumezzane finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Franciacorta
30%
Draws
29%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Franciacorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lumezzane carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 18%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciacorta Lumezzane
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Lumezzane
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Lumezzane vs Franciacorta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Franciacorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Ravasi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciacorta 32 / 100
Lumezzane 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciacorta Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Franciacorta scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Franciacorta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Lumezzane let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lumezzane
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciacorta

(Home)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
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Lumezzane

(Away)
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)