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Franciscain vs Espoir

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Franciscain Logo

Franciscain

5 - 0
FT
Espoir Logo

Espoir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Franciscain and Espoir finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Franciscain
15%
Draws
17%
Espoir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Franciscain carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Franciscain's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Franciscain here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 20%
Espoir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Franciscain Espoir
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 28 10
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.31 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Espoir vs Franciscain
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Espoir
5:0
May 3, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Espoir vs Franciscain
1:5
Dec 14, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Espoir
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Franciscain 85 / 100
Espoir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Franciscain Espoir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Franciscain scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Espoir conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Franciscain remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Franciscain VS Espoir
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Franciscain

(Home)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
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Espoir

(Away)
12 Sept
Assaut
5 : 0
Espoir
06 Jun
Emulation
4 : 1
Espoir
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
09 May
Espoir
2 : 0
Morne des Esses
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)