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Francs Borains vs Dender - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Challenger Pro League Stade Robert Urbain, Boussu
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Francs Borains host Dender in the Challenger Pro League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Dender have shipped 1.61 goals a game lately, while Francs Borains have conceded 1.4 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Francs Borains have won 0 to Dender's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2024, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.00 - 1.38) back Francs Borains to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Francs Borains
15%
Draws
42%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Francs Borains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Francs Borains carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dender's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Challenger Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Francs Borains Clean Sheet 17%
Dender Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francs Borains Dender
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Francs Borains vs Dender
0:3
Dec 5, 2023 Challenger Pro League
Dender vs Francs Borains
2:0
Feb 19, 2022 National Division 1
Dender vs Francs Borains
3:1
Dec 19, 2021 National Division 1
Francs Borains vs Dender
1:1
Apr 11, 2021 National Division 1
Francs Borains vs Dender
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francs Borains 20 / 100
Dender 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francs Borains Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dender Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Francs Borains scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Dender let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Francs Borains stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francs Borains VS Dender
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Francs Borains

(Home)
10 Oct
Lierse SK
3 : 0
Francs Borains
26 Sept
Diegem
0 : 1
Francs Borains
18 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 2
Anderlecht U23
06 Sept
Francs Borains
3 : 0
Sporting Lokeren
30 Aug
Virton
0 : 1
Francs Borains
Page 1 of 6

Dender

(Away)
16 Oct
St. Liege
2 : 0
Dender
09 Oct
Dender
3 : 0
Club Brugge U23
26 Sept
Hoogstraten
0 : 6
Dender
20 Sept
Dender
1 : 0
Patro Eisden
11 Sept
Gent U23
0 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Beerschot VA 7 6 0 1 18:6 18
2 Dender 7 6 0 1 11:2 18
3 Eupen 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
4 Francs Borains 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
5 Hasselt 7 4 0 3 8:10 12
6 Virton 6 3 1 2 11:6 10
7 Sporting Lokeren 6 3 1 2 13:11 10
8 Lierse SK 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
9 Club Brugge U23 6 2 2 2 11:13 8
10 Gent U23 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
11 Genk U23 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
12 Patro Eisden 7 2 0 5 8:12 6
13 RFC Liege 7 1 2 4 11:18 5
14 RFC Seraing 7 0 2 5 8:15 2
15 Anderlecht U23 7 0 1 6 7:17 1
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