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Fransta IK vs Umea FC Akademi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Abera S.
17' Event
Burke J.
66' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Fransta IK and Umea FC Akademi finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fransta IK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fransta IK
15%
Draws
49%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Fransta IK haven't matched Umea FC Akademi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Umea FC Akademi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Fransta IK Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fransta IK Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.71 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs Umea FC Akademi
3:1
Aug 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Fransta IK
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fransta IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Abera S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Eltoft A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fransta IK 10 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fransta IK Umea FC Akademi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Akademi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC Akademi has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Fransta IK found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (21 games).

Fransta IK has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fransta IK VS Umea FC Akademi
2 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fransta IK

(Home)
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Friska Viljor
3 : 0
Fransta IK
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
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Umea FC Akademi

(Away)
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
05 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 1
Storfors AIK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 10 7 1 2 27:15 34
2 Umea FC Akademi 10 5 1 4 29:18 27
3 Storfors AIK 10 6 1 3 18:13 27
4 Fransta IK 10 5 1 4 22:21 25
5 Umea FF 10 4 1 5 21:23 24
6 IFK Umea 10 0 1 9 9:36 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)