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Fraserburgh vs Formartine Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Sargent R.
Assist: Gray C.
45' Event
Cooper M.

AI Match Summary

The Highland League game between Fraserburgh and Formartine Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fraserburgh
30%
Draws
42%
Formartine Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Formartine Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 11%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Formartine Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Formartine Utd
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Fraserburgh
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Formartine Utd
2:2
Feb 8, 2025 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Fraserburgh
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 Highland League
Fraserburgh vs Formartine Utd
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraserburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Sargent R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Formartine Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 29 / 100
Formartine Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Formartine Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraserburgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraserburgh found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Formartine Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Fraserburgh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Formartine Utd
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
24 Oct
Nairn County
2 : 2
Fraserburgh
17 Oct
Fraserburgh
1 : 1
Brora Rangers
13 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 3
Dundee FC B
10 Oct
Fraserburgh
2 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

Formartine Utd

(Away)
17 Oct
Wick Academy
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
13 Oct
Cove Rangers
2 : 1
Formartine Utd
10 Oct
Inverurie Loco Works
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 15 12 3 0 56:14 39
2 Inverurie Loco Works 16 9 5 2 31:21 32
3 Formartine Utd 15 8 4 3 28:19 28
4 Fraserburgh 15 7 6 2 32:16 27
5 Banks O' Dee 15 7 4 4 39:27 25
6 Clachnacuddin 14 6 5 3 31:15 23
7 Huntly 15 6 4 5 30:23 22
8 Strathspey Thistle 16 6 4 6 30:23 22
9 Forres Mechanics 15 6 3 6 25:24 21
10 Deveronvale 16 6 3 7 25:25 21
11 Nairn County 16 5 6 5 24:26 21
12 Turriff United 16 6 2 8 22:23 20
13 Buckie Thistle 14 6 1 7 34:26 19
14 Keith 15 5 3 7 25:35 18
15 Lossiemouth 15 5 3 7 22:36 18
16 Invergordon 15 4 1 10 21:42 13
17 Wick Academy 16 3 1 12 17:44 10
18 Rothes 15 1 0 14 10:63 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)