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Fraserburgh vs Stirling - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Barbour S.
Assist: Hawkins J.
19' Event
McLean R.
Assist: Cameron Z.
26' Event
Butcher S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fraserburgh
20%
Draws
29%
Stirling
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fraserburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Stirling haven't matched Fraserburgh's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Fraserburgh have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fraserburgh, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fraserburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Stirling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraserburgh Stirling
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Challenge Cup
Fraserburgh vs Stirling
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraserburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbour S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Butcher S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stirling Compare

Top Goalscorer McLean R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Allan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraserburgh 30 / 100
Stirling 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraserburgh Stirling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stirling has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fraserburgh scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Fraserburgh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fraserburgh VS Stirling
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraserburgh

(Home)
07 Oct
Banks O' Dee
1 : 3
Fraserburgh
03 Oct
Caledonian Braves
4 : 0
Fraserburgh
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Fraserburgh
0 : 5
Cove Rangers
19 Sept
Wick Academy
2 : 3
Fraserburgh
Page 1 of 6

Stirling

(Away)
03 Oct
Annan
0 : 1
Stirling
26 Sept
Fraserburgh
4 : 3
Stirling
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Clyde
12 Sept
Edinburgh City
7 : 3
Stirling
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)