Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria II vs FK Riltzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Fratria II and FK Riltzi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Riltzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Fratria II
15%
Draws
26%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fratria II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Fratria II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria II FK Riltzi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs FK Riltzi
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs FK Riltzi
8:1
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Fratria II
2:2
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs FK Riltzi
4:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - North-East
FK Riltzi vs Fratria II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria II 29 / 100
FK Riltzi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria II FK Riltzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Riltzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Fratria II's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fratria II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fratria II VS FK Riltzi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
4.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria II

(Home)
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
Page 1 of 6

FK Riltzi

(Away)
10 Oct
Cherno More II
2 : 2
FK Riltzi
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 Chernolomets 8 5 2 1 21:7 17
3 Chernomorets Balchik 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
4 Volov Shumen 8 5 1 2 25:8 16
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Cherno More II 8 3 2 3 13:9 11
7 Septemvri Tervel 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
8 Benkovski 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
9 Devnya 2005 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
10 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
11 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
12 Olympic Varna 8 3 0 5 16:21 9
13 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
14 Septemvri Dragoevo 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 9 1 1 7 17:29 4
17 Dorostol 7 0 1 6 7:21 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)