Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria host Marek in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Marek have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Fratria have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.88. Past meetings favor Marek slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.00, favoring Fratria. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fratria
6%
Draws
4%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marek have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Fratria are scoring more at 1.88.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Marek
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Marek
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Fratria
1:3
May 3, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Marek
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Fratria
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 85 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Fratria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Marek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Marek
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
27 Jun
Farul Constanta
1 : 1
Fratria
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15 May
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 3
Fratria
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
18 Jul
Vihren
1 : 0
Marek
11 Jul
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2
Marek
03 Jul
CSKA Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
27 Jun
Septemvri Sofia
3 : 0
Marek
23 May
Marek
1 : 0
Etar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beroe00000:00
2Pirin Blagoevgrad00000:00
3Marek00000:00
4Vihren00000:00
5Nesebar00000:00
6Etar00000:00
7Montana00000:00
8Rilski Sportist00000:00
9Spartak Pleven00000:00
10Svoge00000:00
11Yantra Gabrovo00000:00
12Dobrudzha00000:00
13Hebar00000:00
14Gorna00000:00
15CSKA Sofia II00000:00
16Ludogorets II00000:00
17Chernomorets 191900000:00
18Fratria00000:00
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)