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Fratria vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
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Match Events

14' Event
Mechev S.
19'
Angelov D.
39'
Peshov K.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and Marek finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fratria
35%
Draws
28%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Marek have managed 0.85 goals a game lately — Fratria are scoring more at 1.59.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fratria Clean Sheet 68%
Marek Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Marek
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 7
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.59 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Marek
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Marek
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Fratria
1:3
May 3, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Marek
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Fratria
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Mechev S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 41 / 100
Marek 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Fratria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Marek conceded in 54% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Marek
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
01 Sept
Hebar
1 : 1
Fratria
29 Aug
Fratria
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
24 Aug
Vihren
2 : 2
Fratria
14 Aug
Fratria
2 : 0
Beroe
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Marek

(Away)
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2
Dobrudzha
16 Aug
Montana
1 : 0
Marek
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 8 5 3 0 19:8 18
2 Yantra Gabrovo 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Fratria 8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4 Etar 8 4 2 2 14:11 14
5 CSKA Sofia II 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
6 Nesebar 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Chernomorets 1919 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
8 Beroe 8 3 3 2 11:8 12
9 Montana 8 3 2 3 13:12 11
10 Ludogorets II 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Gorna 8 3 2 3 7:9 11
12 Spartak Pleven 8 3 1 4 10:16 10
13 Marek 8 3 1 4 7:9 10
14 Rilski Sportist 8 2 3 3 8:9 9
15 Hebar 8 2 2 4 14:16 8
16 Svoge 8 1 4 3 4:6 7
17 Dobrudzha 8 1 3 4 9:12 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 8 0 0 8 3:27 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)