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Fratria vs Rilski Sportist - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Dyulgerov S.
46'
Sub
Totev T. In: Rusinov I.
Out: Totev T.
46'
Sub
Bozhinov V. In: Tartov G.
Out: Bozhinov V.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Fratria and Rilski Sportist finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fratria
20%
Draws
42%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rilski Sportist

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rilski Sportist come out ahead of Fratria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fratria's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fratria Clean Sheet 20%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 15
Draws 12 4
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.26
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Rilski Sportist
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fratria Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyulgerov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Rilski Sportist Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 36 / 100
Rilski Sportist 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Rilski Sportist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Fratria stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Rilski Sportist conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Rilski Sportist
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

Rilski Sportist

(Away)
04 Oct
Zagorets
0 : 4
Rilski Sportist
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)