Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fratria vs Rilski Sportist

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Albena Stadium, Albena
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fratria host Rilski Sportist in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Rilski Sportist have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Fratria have conceded 1 and scored 1.63. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 0.88, favoring Rilski Sportist. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fratria
6%
Draws
4%
Rilski Sportist
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rilski Sportist come out ahead of Fratria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fratria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fratria Clean Sheet 68%
Rilski Sportist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fratria Rilski Sportist
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 17
Draws 11 2
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fratria 95 / 100
Rilski Sportist 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fratria Rilski Sportist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Recent resilience: Fratria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Rilski Sportist has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Rilski Sportist's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fratria VS Rilski Sportist
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fratria

(Home)
25 Jul
Fratria
0 : 1
Marek
10 Jul
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 1
Fratria
04 Jul
Gorna
1 : 2
Fratria
27 Jun
Farul Constanta
1 : 1
Fratria
23 May
Fratria
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

Rilski Sportist

(Away)
28 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 1
Ludogorets II
11 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia II
08 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Lok. Plovdiv
04 Jul
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Vihren
01 Jul
Rilski Sportist
0 : 2
Arda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Etar11005:13
2Dobrudzha11005:13
3Spartak Pleven11002:03
4Beroe11002:13
5Marek11001:03
6Ludogorets II11001:03
7Montana10102:21
8Svoge10102:21
9Vihren10101:11
10Gorna10101:11
11CSKA Sofia II10101:11
12Chernomorets 191910101:11
13Hebar10011:20
14Rilski Sportist10010:10
15Fratria10010:10
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)