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Frechen vs 1. FC Duren Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Frechen in this Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Frechen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Frechen
30%
Draws
31%
1. FC Duren
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Frechen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Frechen have won more games recently than 1. FC Duren.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Frechen taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen 1. FC Duren
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs 1. FC Duren
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Frechen
4:3
Jul 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Frechen vs 1. FC Duren
1:3
May 15, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs Frechen
5:0
Oct 31, 2021 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs 1. FC Duren
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 47 / 100
1. FC Duren 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen 1. FC Duren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frechen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frechen scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: 1. FC Duren conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Frechen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Frechen VS 1. FC Duren
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Frechen

(Home)
27 Sept
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
Frechen
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
30 Aug
Frechen
4 : 0
Chlodwig Zulpich
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1. FC Duren

(Away)
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
28 Aug
VfL Vichttal
6 : 2
1. FC Duren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)