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Frechen vs FC Wegberg-Beeck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frechen play FC Wegberg-Beeck in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. Frechen are favorites here. Recently, Frechen averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. FC Wegberg-Beeck averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Frechen won 3, FC Wegberg-Beeck won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Frechen and 1.00 for FC Wegberg-Beeck. This points to a Frechen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Frechen
25%
Draws
15%
FC Wegberg-Beeck
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Frechen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Frechen picked up more points recently compared to FC Wegberg-Beeck.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Frechen Clean Sheet 23%
FC Wegberg-Beeck Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen FC Wegberg-Beeck
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.2 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
2:4
Nov 30, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs Frechen
0:1
May 11, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs Frechen
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs FC Wegberg-Beeck
4:3
Mar 12, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
FC Wegberg-Beeck vs Frechen
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 59 / 100
FC Wegberg-Beeck 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen FC Wegberg-Beeck

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frechen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Frechen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Frechen attacking → ← attacking FC Wegberg-Beeck

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frechen scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

FC Wegberg-Beeck let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Frechen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Wegberg-Beeck lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 50
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385:2867
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686:3664
3Siegburger30195675:3462
4Merten30186680:2860
5VfL Vichttal30185780:4359
6FC Wegberg-Beeck30156962:3551
7Frechen301621266:5450
8Bornheim301441265:5646
9Konigsdorf301441253:5446
10Fortuna Koln II301361162:4745
111. FC Duren301151449:5938
12Hennef301121745:6635
13SpVg Porz 191930741958:9925
14Teutonia Weiden30442225:10416
15Sportfreunde Duren30422441:10314
16Pesch30222626:1128