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Frechen vs Glesch/Paffendorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Sun, Apr 7, 2024
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frechen host Glesch/Paffendorf in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024. Frechen go into this one as the clear favorite. Frechen have averaged 2.41 scored and 1.81 conceded recently, against Glesch/Paffendorf's 0.71 scored and 2.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Frechen have won 3 to Glesch/Paffendorf's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.42 - 1.50) back Frechen to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Frechen
20%
Draws
0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frechen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frechen lately — more wins on the board than Glesch/Paffendorf.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Frechen Clean Sheet 16%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen Glesch/Paffendorf
Matches Played 37 17
Wins 20 0
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.41 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Glesch/Paffendorf
0:0
Oct 8, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Frechen
2:4
May 21, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Glesch/Paffendorf
3:1
Nov 6, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Frechen
2:2
Apr 18, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Frechen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 31 / 100
Glesch/Paffendorf 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen Glesch/Paffendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Glesch/Paffendorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frechen scored in 92% of their last 37 outings.

Glesch/Paffendorf let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.

Glesch/Paffendorf's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Frechen VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frechen

(Home)
04 Oct
Frechen
1 : 0
VfL Vichttal
27 Sept
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
Frechen
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
Page 1 of 8

Glesch/Paffendorf

(Away)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)