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Frechen vs Glesch/Paffendorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Sun, Apr 7, 2024
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Frechen host Glesch/Paffendorf in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024. Frechen go into this one as the clear favorite. Frechen have averaged 2.23 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Glesch/Paffendorf's 0.71 scored and 2.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Frechen have won 3 to Glesch/Paffendorf's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.44) back Frechen to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Frechen
15%
Draws
0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frechen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Frechen lately — more wins on the board than Glesch/Paffendorf.
  • Model gives Frechen a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Frechen Clean Sheet 16%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Frechen Glesch/Paffendorf
Matches Played 35 17
Wins 19 0
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.23 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Glesch/Paffendorf
0:0
Oct 8, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Frechen
2:4
May 21, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Glesch/Paffendorf
3:1
Nov 6, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Frechen
2:2
Apr 18, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Frechen
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Frechen 36 / 100
Glesch/Paffendorf 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Frechen Glesch/Paffendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Frechen scored in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Glesch/Paffendorf let in goals in 94% of their last 17 matches.

Glesch/Paffendorf's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Frechen VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Frechen

(Home)
01 Aug
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Frechen
07 Jun
Frechen
7 : 1
Teutonia Weiden
31 May
SpVg Porz 1919
1 : 4
Frechen
25 May
Frechen
2 : 4
FC Wegberg-Beeck
17 May
Bergisch Gladbach
4 : 1
Frechen
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Glesch/Paffendorf

(Away)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)