Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredensborg vs Hellerup

Denmark Denmark

Landspokal Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rindom J.
30' Event
De Biase L.
71' Event
Thomsen E.

AI Match Summary

Hellerup in this Landspokal Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Fredensborg
15%
Draws
36%
Hellerup
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredensborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Fredensborg haven't matched Hellerup's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Fredensborg taking it.
  • Hellerup arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hellerup, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hellerup have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fredensborg Clean Sheet 19%
Hellerup Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredensborg Hellerup
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 5 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2025 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
1:3
Sep 5, 2017 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
1:2
Oct 22, 2016 2nd Division - Group 1
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
0:4
Aug 6, 2016 2nd Division - Group 1
Hellerup vs Fredensborg
0:2
Aug 13, 2008 Betano Pokalen
Fredensborg vs Hellerup
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredensborg Compare

Top Goalscorer De Biase L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Hellerup Compare

Top Goalscorer Rindom J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomsen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredensborg 67 / 100
Hellerup 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredensborg Hellerup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredensborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellerup let in goals in 86% of their last 37 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Hellerup registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Fredensborg scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hellerup
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredensborg

(Home)
05 Aug
Fredensborg
1 : 3
Hellerup
05 Sept
Fredensborg
1 : 2
Hellerup
08 Aug
Ringsted
0 : 1
Fredensborg
17 Jun
Naesby
2 : 1
Fredensborg
10 Jun
Fredensborg
2 : 2
FC Sydvest 05
Page 1 of 6

Hellerup

(Away)
18 Sept
Nykobing
3 : 0
Hellerup
15 Sept
Hellerup
0 : 5
Esbjerg
11 Sept
Fremad Amager
2 : 1
Hellerup
05 Sept
Hellerup
2 : 1
Brabrand
29 Aug
Hellerup
1 : 2
Middelfart
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ringsted 7
Nykobing 6
LUIF 0
Skjold 7
Snejbjerg SG&I 0
Vejgaard 6
Marienlyst 1
Esbjerg 2
Vallensbaek 1
Nakskov 7
Fredensborg 1
Hellerup 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Grenaa IF 0
Young Boys FD 3
Skibsby-Hojene IF 0
Aarhus Fremad 3
Boldklubben 1909 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Skovsgaard 2
Hobro 4
Ledoje-Smorum 1
BK Frem 0
Helsingor 0
Lyngby 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 2
TRIF 1
Skodstrup SF 0
Thisted FC 2
ESPM 1
Tune 2
TBD -
Fredericia -
BV Oksbol 4
Billund 1
Bramming 3
SfB-Oure 2
Naesby 1
Horsens 2
TBD -
Viborg -
Holstebro 2
Odder 4
ASA Aarhus 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 2
Naestved IF 1
Kastrup 0
Roskilde 2
Husum BK 1
Holbaek 6
Ishoj IF 2
Fremad Amager 1
Skanderborg 4
Kjellerup 0
TBD -
Vejle -
Bornholm 0
Gentofte-Vangede 2
Allerod 2
Bronshoj 4
FC Bih Odense 2
FC Horsens 7
Norager 1
VSK Aarhus 6
Frem Sakskobing 1
Sundby 6
OKF 0
Vanlose 5
FC Kalundborg 1
Stenlose 0
TBD -
Odense -
Brondby Strand 2
Nerashte Ballerup 1
BK Viktoria 0
Hillerod 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Tarnby FF 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 4
Koge 3
Raklev 2
Avarta 0
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Marstal/Rise 3
Tved 2
Vendsyssel FF 1
Aalborg 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 4
Norresundby 3
Chang Odense 0
Kolding BK 3
OKS Odense 2
Middelfart 3
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Brabrand 0
Skive 3
Odense KFUM 0
Kolding IF 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Rudersdal 1
AB Copenhagen 3
Alholm IF 0
Boldklubben 1893 10
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
1/32-finals
Ringsted 3
Skjold 1
Vejgaard 1
Esbjerg 2
Nakskov 0
Hellerup 4
TBD -
Randers FC -
Young Boys FD 1
Aarhus Fremad 6
Boldklubben 1909 0
Hobro 3
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Lyngby 2
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Mejrup GU 0
Thisted FC 4
Tune 2
Fredericia 4
BV Oksbol 4
Bramming 0
Horsens 0
Viborg 1
Odder 1
Lyseng 2
Gorslev IF 0
Roskilde 5
Holbaek 3
Ishoj IF 0
Skanderborg 0
Vejle 6
Gentofte-Vangede 3
Bronshoj 4
FC Horsens 0
VSK Aarhus 5
Sundby 3
Vanlose 2
FC Kalundborg 0
Odense 11
Brondby Strand 2
Hillerod 3
TBD -
Aarhus -
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Raklev 0
Sonderjyske 10
Marstal/Rise 1
Aalborg 6
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Farso Ullits 1
Kolding BK 2
Middelfart 1
Silkeborg 2
Skive 0
Kolding IF 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
TBD -
Brondby -
1/16-finals
Ringsted 0
Esbjerg 1
Hellerup 1
Randers FC 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
Hobro 2
Lyngby 0
FC Copenhagen 2
Thisted FC 1
Fredericia 2
BV Oksbol 0
Viborg 6
Lyseng 4
Roskilde 3
Holbaek 2
Vejle 3
Bronshoj 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Sundby 0
Odense 3
Hillerod 1
Aarhus 2
Hvidovre IF 1
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0
Midtjylland 3
Kolding BK 0
Silkeborg 5
Kolding IF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
Boldklubben 1893 1
Brondby 4
1/8-finals
Esbjerg 1
Randers FC 0
Hobro 1
FC Copenhagen 4
Fredericia 2
Viborg 3
Lyseng 0
Vejle 4
Bronshoj 0
Odense 3
Aarhus 2
Sonderjyske 1
Midtjylland 4
Silkeborg 0
Nordsjaelland 4
Brondby 2
Quarter-finals
Esbjerg 2
FC Copenhagen 6
Viborg 4
Vejle 2
Odense 2
Aarhus 3
Midtjylland 6
Nordsjaelland 3
Semi-finals
FC Copenhagen 4
Viborg 2
Aarhus 1
Midtjylland 2
Final
FC Copenhagen 0
Midtjylland 1