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Fredrikstad 2 vs Donn

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nordbo L.
Own Goal
20' Event
Peroti D.
46' Event
Paulsen M.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2023 game between Fredrikstad 2 and Donn finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredrikstad 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fredrikstad 2
15%
Draws
28%
Donn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Donn haven't matched Fredrikstad 2's recent run of results.
  • Fredrikstad 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fredrikstad 2 Clean Sheet 12%
Donn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad 2 Donn
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 1.72 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.44 3.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2023 Division 3 - Group 4
Donn vs Fredrikstad 2
1:0
Jun 25, 2023 Division 3 - Group 4
Fredrikstad 2 vs Donn
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredrikstad 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Peroti D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paulsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Donn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 2 74 / 100
Donn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad 2 Donn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Donn has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Fredrikstad 2 scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Fredrikstad 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad 2 VS Donn
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad 2

(Home)
26 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
4 : 1
Fram
20 Oct
Pors 2
0 : 2
Fredrikstad 2
11 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
4 : 1
Oppsal
06 Oct
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 4
Fredrikstad 2
02 Oct
Fredrikstad 2
0 : 5
Odds BK 2
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Donn

(Away)
17 Feb
Start
2 : 0
Donn
07 Feb
Mandalskameratene
1 : 5
Donn
29 Oct
Vindbjart
7 : 3
Donn
22 Oct
Donn
1 : 2
Mjondalen 2
14 Oct
Randesund
1 : 2
Donn
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