Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad host Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fredrikstad at 1.48 goals for, 1.38 against; Bodo/Glimt at 2.9 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Bodo/Glimt slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 17, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.81, favoring Bodo/Glimt. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fredrikstad
15%
Draws
47%
Bodo/Glimt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bodo/Glimt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bodo/Glimt lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bodo/Glimt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 11%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Bodo/Glimt
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 24
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.48 2.9
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
5:0
Jul 16, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Apr 1, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 30 / 100
Bodo/Glimt 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Bodo/Glimt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Fredrikstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Bodo/Glimt conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Bodo/Glimt
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7
Fredrikstad
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0
Kristiansund
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0
Sandefjord
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6

Bodo/Glimt

(Away)
26 Aug
Fauske Sprint
0 : 5
Bodo/Glimt
25 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Nijmegen
19 Aug
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt
11 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Royale Union SG
08 Aug
Valerenga
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 17 13 1 3 40:17 40
3 Tromso 17 10 4 3 34:20 34
4 Molde 17 8 3 6 32:26 27
5 Lillestrom 17 8 2 7 23:21 26
6 Brann 17 8 1 8 36:27 25
7 Rosenborg 17 7 3 7 25:22 24
8 Fredrikstad 17 7 2 8 18:27 23
9 Sarpsborg 08 17 6 4 7 20:23 22
10 Ham-Kam 17 6 4 7 24:30 22
11 Valerenga 17 6 3 8 28:34 21
12 KFUM Oslo 17 5 4 8 19:27 19
13 Sandefjord 17 5 3 9 15:23 18
14 Kristiansund 17 4 3 10 15:27 15
15 Aalesund 17 2 9 6 27:41 15
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)