Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Rafn S.
Assist: Shein R. R.
44' Event
Gjone M.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Udahl H. In: Johnsgard M.
Out: Udahl H.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad and Ham-Kam finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fredrikstad
15%
Draws
34%
Ham-Kam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fredrikstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fredrikstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fredrikstad's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 20%
Ham-Kam Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Ham-Kam
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam
1:1
May 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Ham-Kam
1:1
Jul 20, 2025 Eliteserien
Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Ham-Kam vs Fredrikstad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafn S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ham-Kam Compare

Top Goalscorer Trondsen A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 36 / 100
Ham-Kam 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Ham-Kam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ham-Kam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Fredrikstad found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ham-Kam has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Ham-Kam
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0
Sandefjord
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
Page 1 of 6

Ham-Kam

(Away)
09 Aug
Ham-Kam
1 : 1
Aalesund
31 Jul
Valerenga
0 : 3
Ham-Kam
26 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0
Ham-Kam
22 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0
Ham-Kam
18 Jul
Ham-Kam
1 : 4
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodo/Glimt 17 13 2 2 43:12 41
2 Viking 16 13 1 2 39:15 40
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 32:17 34
4 Lillestrom 16 8 1 7 22:20 25
5 Molde 16 7 3 6 29:24 24
6 Brann 16 7 1 8 33:27 22
7 Sarpsborg 08 16 6 4 6 19:21 22
8 Ham-Kam 16 6 4 6 24:27 22
9 Rosenborg 16 6 3 7 23:21 21
10 Valerenga 16 6 2 8 23:29 20
11 Fredrikstad 16 6 2 8 17:27 20
12 KFUM Oslo 16 5 3 8 18:26 18
13 Sandefjord 16 4 3 9 13:22 15
14 Kristiansund 16 4 3 9 15:26 15
15 Aalesund 16 2 8 6 22:36 14
16 Start 17 2 4 11 16:38 10
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)