Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredrikstad vs Jerv

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fredrikstad
15%
Draws
44%
Jerv
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jerv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Jerv have won more games recently than Fredrikstad.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 11%
Jerv Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Jerv
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.6 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Fredrikstad vs Jerv
3:2
Nov 12, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Jerv
1:0
May 13, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Jerv vs Fredrikstad
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Jerv vs Fredrikstad
3:2
May 30, 2021 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Jerv
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 29 / 100
Jerv 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Jerv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Jerv let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fredrikstad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Jerv
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
22 Aug
Eidsvold IF
1 : 7
Fredrikstad
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0
Kristiansund
08 Aug
Start
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
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Jerv

(Away)
05 Sept
Mjondalen
0 : 3
Jerv
30 Aug
Jerv
1 : 0
Pors
22 Aug
Fram
1 : 2
Jerv
16 Aug
Sandviken
2 : 2
Jerv
08 Aug
Jerv
4 : 0
Vidar
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