Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ohlenschlaeger O.
Assist: Rafn S.
38'
Bruseth H.
44'
Leach S.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad and Kristiansund finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fredrikstad
30%
Draws
33%
Kristiansund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fredrikstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fredrikstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fredrikstad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 16%
Kristiansund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Kristiansund
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Fredrikstad
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund
3:1
May 11, 2025 Eliteserien
Kristiansund vs Fredrikstad
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Kristiansund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ohlenschlaeger O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Kristiansund Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 84 / 100
Kristiansund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Kristiansund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Kristiansund has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Fredrikstad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Kristiansund
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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Kristiansund

(Away)
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Brattvag
1 : 2
Kristiansund
13 Sept
Viking
8 : 1
Kristiansund
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Ham-Kam
2 : 2
Kristiansund
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)