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Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Fredrikstad at 1.36 goals for, 1.46 against; Rosenborg at 2.18 for, 1.39 against. Head-to-head, Fredrikstad have won 0 to Rosenborg's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 27, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.31) point toward Rosenborg. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Fredrikstad
35%
Draws
44%
Rosenborg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rosenborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rosenborg lately — more wins on the board than Fredrikstad.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Rosenborg taking it.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 10%
Rosenborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Rosenborg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.36 2.18
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
4:0
May 28, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
0:2
Apr 5, 2025 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Jul 27, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg
2:2
Jun 2, 2024 Eliteserien
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 14 / 100
Rosenborg 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Rosenborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rosenborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rosenborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fredrikstad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Rosenborg
2 Goals Scored 3.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
11 Oct
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Tromso
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
Page 1 of 6

Rosenborg

(Away)
10 Oct
Rosenborg
1 : 1
Sandefjord
03 Oct
Rosenborg
2 : 0
Ostersund
19 Sept
Kristiansund
1 : 3
Rosenborg
16 Sept
Floya
1 : 4
Rosenborg
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
2 Bodo/Glimt 22 17 2 3 56:20 53
3 Tromso 22 11 6 5 41:30 39
4 Molde 22 11 4 7 46:34 37
5 Rosenborg 22 10 4 8 40:31 34
6 Lillestrom 22 10 3 9 30:31 33
7 Brann 22 9 2 11 39:34 29
8 Fredrikstad 22 8 5 9 26:33 29
9 Sarpsborg 08 22 7 7 8 28:31 28
10 KFUM Oslo 22 8 4 10 27:36 28
11 Ham-Kam 22 7 5 10 33:46 26
12 Sandefjord 22 6 6 10 22:28 24
13 Valerenga 22 6 5 11 35:45 23
14 Aalesund 22 4 9 9 35:50 21
15 Kristiansund 22 5 4 13 22:43 19
16 Start 22 4 4 14 24:48 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)