Sport Picks
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Norway
Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad 
Match Events
19'
19'
Nilsson M.
Assist: Amundsen I.
20'
20'
Sub
Christiansen S. In: Opoku M.
Out: Christiansen S.
28'
28'
Skarsem O.
Assist: Sorli S.
AI Match Summary
The Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad and Sarpsborg 08 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fredrikstad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Sarpsborg 08 haven't matched Fredrikstad's recent run of results.
- Model gives Fredrikstad a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 20%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fredrikstad | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08
1:1
May 9, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 NM Cup
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Fredrikstad
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Sarpsborg 08
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fredrikstad Compare
Top Goalscorer Nilsson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Sarpsborg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Skarsem O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fredrikstad 85 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fredrikstad Sarpsborg 08
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fredrikstad scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Sarpsborg 08 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Fredrikstad stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fredrikstad VS Sarpsborg 08
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fredrikstad
(Home) 20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1 Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1 Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2 Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4 Fredrikstad
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2 Bodo/Glimt
16 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Kristiansund
01 Aug
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 Sandefjord
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
Page 1 of 3
Sarpsborg 08
(Away) 30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
18 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 3 KFUM Oslo
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
06 Sept
Sarpsborg 08
2 : 2 Valerenga
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Follo
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
08 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54:20 | 50 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 53:19 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40:29 | 38 |
| 4 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 7 | Brann | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 39:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | 25 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34:43 | 23 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 29:44 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22:44 | 16 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
