Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fredrikstad vs Start

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cornelius J.
Assist: Lorentzen H.
50'
Mvoue S.
56'
Sub
Leach S. In: Nilsson M.
Out: Leach S.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Fredrikstad and Start finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fredrikstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fredrikstad
30%
Draws
34%
Start
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fredrikstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fredrikstad carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fredrikstad are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 19%
Start Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Start
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Start
2:1
Sep 3, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Fredrikstad
2:2
Jun 11, 2023 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Start
3:1
Jul 31, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Start vs Fredrikstad
1:0
Apr 18, 2022 OBOS-ligaen
Fredrikstad vs Start
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fredrikstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Eid D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ohlenschlaeger O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Start Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornelius J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 36 / 100
Start 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Start

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Start conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Start has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Start
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
27 Jul
Rosenborg
4 : 0
Fredrikstad
17 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Fredrikstad
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2
Lillestrom
04 Jul
Valerenga
3 : 1
Fredrikstad
28 Jun
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Elfsborg
Page 1 of 6

Start

(Away)
25 Jul
Kristiansund
1 : 2
Start
18 Jul
Start
0 : 3
Rosenborg
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
04 Jul
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0
Start
29 May
Fredrikstad
2 : 1
Start
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bodo/Glimt15112237:1135
2Viking14111234:1434
3Tromso1594226:1531
4Lillestrom1481522:1425
5Molde1472525:1923
6Sarpsborg 081463515:1621
7Valerenga1462622:2420
8Brann1561830:2519
9Rosenborg1453619:1818
10Ham-Kam1453620:2618
11Sandefjord1443713:2015
12Fredrikstad1442815:2714
13Aalesund1427519:2913
14KFUM Oslo1433815:2512
15Kristiansund1433812:2312
16Start1524916:3410
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)