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Fredrikstad vs Tromso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Fredrikstad Stadion, Fredrikstad
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fredrikstad host Tromso in the Eliteserien. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fredrikstad have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against Tromso's 1.93 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Fredrikstad have won 0 to Tromso's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.13, favoring Tromso. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fredrikstad
30%
Draws
33%
Tromso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fredrikstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fredrikstad haven't matched Tromso's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fredrikstad a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fredrikstad Clean Sheet 20%
Tromso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fredrikstad Tromso
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Fredrikstad
4:0
Aug 2, 2025 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Fredrikstad
0:0
Jun 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Tromso
0:1
May 29, 2024 Eliteserien
Tromso vs Fredrikstad
3:0
May 25, 2024 Eliteserien
Fredrikstad vs Tromso
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fredrikstad 40 / 100
Tromso 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fredrikstad Tromso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fredrikstad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fredrikstad scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Fredrikstad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tromso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fredrikstad VS Tromso
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fredrikstad

(Home)
20 Sept
Valerenga
1 : 1
Fredrikstad
16 Sept
Stjordals Blink
0 : 1
Fredrikstad
13 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 1
Sarpsborg 08
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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Tromso

(Away)
20 Sept
Tromso
3 : 2
Ham-Kam
16 Sept
Alta
1 : 2
Tromso
12 Sept
Rosenborg
5 : 3
Tromso
06 Sept
Kristiansund
2 : 0
Tromso
30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0
Sarpsborg 08
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Viking 21 16 2 3 54:20 50
2 Bodo/Glimt 21 16 2 3 53:19 50
3 Tromso 21 11 5 5 40:29 38
4 Molde 21 11 3 7 44:32 36
5 Rosenborg 21 10 3 8 39:30 33
6 Lillestrom 21 10 2 9 28:29 32
7 Brann 21 9 2 10 39:32 29
8 Fredrikstad 21 8 4 9 25:32 28
9 Sarpsborg 08 21 6 7 8 24:29 25
10 KFUM Oslo 21 7 4 10 25:35 25
11 Sandefjord 21 6 5 10 21:27 23
12 Valerenga 21 6 5 10 34:43 23
13 Ham-Kam 21 6 5 10 29:44 23
14 Aalesund 21 4 9 8 33:46 21
15 Kristiansund 21 5 4 12 21:40 19
16 Start 21 4 4 13 22:44 16
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)