Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Freeport vs Downtown

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Freeport Logo

Freeport

2 - 2
FT
Downtown Logo

Downtown

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LFA First Division matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Freeport
35%
Draws
36%
Downtown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Downtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Downtown lately — more wins on the board than Freeport.
  • Model gives Freeport a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Freeport Clean Sheet 20%
Downtown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Downtown
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.19
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Downtown
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 LFA First Division
Downtown vs Freeport
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 49 / 100
Downtown 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Downtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Freeport's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Downtown let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Freeport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Downtown
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 6

Downtown

(Away)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
14 May
Downtown
1 : 0
Borough FC
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)