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Freeport vs Mighty Barrolle

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Dweh P.
42' Event
Johnson D.
51' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this LFA First Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Freeport
35%
Draws
39%
Mighty Barrolle
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mighty Barrolle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mighty Barrolle lately — more wins on the board than Freeport.
  • 26% — that's where the model lands on Freeport taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Freeport Clean Sheet 16%
Mighty Barrolle Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Mighty Barrolle
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 8, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Mighty Barrolle
2:2
Dec 11, 2024 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs Freeport
4:2
Apr 10, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Mighty Barrolle
1:5
Sep 10, 2023 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs Freeport
2:0
Apr 2, 2023 LFA First Division
Mighty Barrolle vs Freeport
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freeport Compare

Top Goalscorer Dweh P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Mighty Barrolle Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 39 / 100
Mighty Barrolle 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Mighty Barrolle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mighty Barrolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Freeport found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Freeport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

Mighty Barrolle

(Away)
20 Apr
Discoveries
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
17 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 2
Black Man Warrior
10 Apr
BEA Mountain
1 : 2
Mighty Barrolle
06 Apr
Mighty Barrolle
2 : 3
Global Pharma
28 Mar
Mighty Barrolle
0 : 5
Shaita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)