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Freeport vs Shaita

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kennedy P.
32' Event
Keita M.
51' Event
Isco Kamara O.

AI Match Summary

Freeport in this LFA First Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Freeport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Freeport
35%
Draws
41%
Shaita
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Shaita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Shaita haven't matched Freeport's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Freeport taking it.
  • Regular LFA First Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%
Shaita Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Freeport Shaita
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.58 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Orange Cup
Shaita vs Freeport
1:1
Apr 22, 2026 Orange Cup
Freeport vs Shaita
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Shaita
2:1
Oct 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Shaita vs Freeport
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Freeport Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leaye B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Shaita Compare

Top Goalscorer Isco Kamara O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Freeport 34 / 100
Shaita 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Freeport Shaita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Shaita let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Freeport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Freeport VS Shaita
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Freeport

(Home)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
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Shaita

(Away)
07 Jun
Black Man Warrior
2 : 1
Shaita
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
22 Apr
Freeport
0 : 1
Shaita
09 Apr
FC Fassell
0 : 2
Shaita
20 Apr
BEA Mountain
5 : 2
Shaita
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Fassell 26 17 5 4 57:21 56
2 Heaven Eleven 26 13 6 7 47:26 45
3 Watanga 26 10 10 6 33:24 40
4 Discoveries 26 11 6 9 47:38 39
5 BEA Mountain 26 10 7 9 50:45 37
6 Global Pharma 26 11 3 12 40:47 36
7 LPRC Oiler 26 9 8 9 31:30 35
8 Paynesville 26 10 5 11 33:40 35
9 Black Man Warrior 26 8 9 9 36:38 33
10 Liberia Registry 26 9 5 12 42:44 32
11 Freeport 26 8 7 11 37:51 31
12 Mighty Barrolle 26 8 5 13 38:65 29
13 Shaita 26 6 9 11 40:47 27
14 Invincible Eleven 26 5 9 12 29:44 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)